Travel Warning: Philippines - Super Typhoon Yutu

29 Oct 2018

Super Typhoon Yutu continues to track westward in the Philippine Sea Oct. 28. As of 1400 PHT, the system's center of circulation was located approximately 776 km (482 miles) east of Tuguegarao City, northern Philippines. Yutu is forecast to weaken slightly over the next 24-48 hours as it transits the Philippine Sea. Landfall is projected Oct. 30. The storm is forecast to weaken as it passes over the northern Philippines Oct. 30-Nov. 1 before moving across the South China Sea, potentially towards southern China, including Hong Kong, Macau and Guangdong Province. The storms impact could also be experienced in Taiwan in early November. As significant uncertainty remains in the forecast, Yutu's projected track and intensity will likely remain subject to change. 

Weather Warnings 
As of early Oct. 28, the Philippine Atmospheric, Geophysical and Astronomical Services Administration (PAGASA) indicated that Tropical Cyclone Warning Signals (TCWS) will possibly be issued Oct. 28 over eastern parts of central and northern Luzon. Moderate to heavy rainfall is forecast over this area from Oct. 29. Strong to very strong wind is forecast from Oct. 29 over eastern facing areas in Luzon. The authorities indicate that they may issue a TCWS over Manila Oct. 29. Storm surge is possible over coastal areas of Isabela and Cagayan. 

Hazardous Conditions 
Heavy rainfall produced by Yutu could cause life-threatening flash and areal flooding in low-lying communities near creeks, rivers, streams, or other bodies of water. Urban flooding is also a concern in areas with easily overwhelmed stormwater drainage systems. Sites downstream of large reservoirs or rivers may be subject to flooding after relatively short periods of intense rainfall. Coastal flooding may occur during significant storm surges. Rain-induced landslides pose an additional threat in hilly or mountainous locations. Strong winds could cause property damage, uproot trees, and lead to extensive power outages throughout the affected area. The extent and severity of weather-related impacts in the region will become more clear as forecast guidance improves over the coming days. 

Inclement weather associated with the system could trigger localized business, transport, and utility disruptions. Floodwaters may render some bridges or roadways impassable, impacting ground travel in and around affected areas. Strong winds could down trees or spread debris, which could damage infrastructure (including power lines) or impede access to important thoroughfares. High winds may trigger flight disruptions - including delays and cancellations - at regional airports, including at Ninoy Aquino International Airport (MNL) in Manila. Hazardous sea conditions could prompt the temporary suspension of ferry services and port operations in areas near the storm's path. 

Disruptions triggered by inclement weather and resultant hazards, such as flooding, could persist well after conditions have improved. If there is severe damage to infrastructure, repair or reconstruction efforts may exacerbate residual disruptions. 

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